Nexa Resources Sa Stock Performance

NEXA Stock  USD 12.61  1.25  9.02%   
Nexa Resources holds a performance score of 27 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.77, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nexa Resources' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nexa Resources is expected to be smaller as well. Use Nexa Resources SA kurtosis, and the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to analyze future returns on Nexa Resources SA.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nexa Resources SA are ranked lower than 27 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Nexa Resources sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow457.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-237.6 M

Nexa Resources Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  568.00  in Nexa Resources SA on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  693.00  from holding Nexa Resources SA or generate 122.01% return on investment over 90 days. Nexa Resources SA is currently generating 1.3723% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0037% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Nexa, and 73% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nexa Resources is expected to generate 5.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Nexa Resources Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nexa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.61 90 days 12.61 
about 6.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nexa Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.73 (This Nexa Resources SA probability density function shows the probability of Nexa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nexa Resources has a beta of 0.77. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nexa Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nexa Resources SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Nexa Resources SA has an alpha of 1.3352, implying that it can generate a 1.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nexa Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nexa Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexa Resources SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexa Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.6112.6116.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2513.2517.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8612.8716.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.6811.4115.14
Details

Nexa Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nexa Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nexa Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nexa Resources SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nexa Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
2.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.33

Nexa Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nexa Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nexa Resources SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexa Resources SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (205.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 546.61 M.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nexa Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nexa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nexa Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexa Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments640.2 M

Nexa Resources Fundamentals Growth

Nexa Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nexa Resources, and Nexa Resources fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nexa Stock performance.

About Nexa Resources Performance

By analyzing Nexa Resources' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Nexa Resources' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Nexa Resources has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nexa Resources has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Nexa Resources S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the zinc mining and smelting business. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Nexa Resources is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Nexa Resources SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nexa Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nexa Resources SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexa Resources SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (205.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 546.61 M.
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Nexa Resources' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nexa Resources' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nexa Resources' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nexa Resources' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nexa Resources' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nexa Resources' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nexa Resources' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nexa Resources' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nexa Resources' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nexa Resources' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nexa Resources' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Nexa Resources' price analysis, check to measure Nexa Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexa Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Nexa Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexa Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexa Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexa Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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